A Weakening Snowpack in Glacier

Location Name: 
Forecaster Observation: Lake McDonald Area
Observation date: 
Saturday, November 28, 2020 - 17:30

Is this an Avalanche Observation: 
No
Observation made by: Forecaster

Location

Tabs

Quick Observation

We took our skis for a walk in the Lake McDonald area to monitor the early season snowpack as it continues to develop. 

  • We found good skiing on sheltered aspects above 6500 feet where snow depths ranged from 24 to 48 inches. Careful skiing is required below 6500 where the snow was about a foot deep. We made extra cautious kick turns and wedged on the shallow snowpack below 6000 feet. We walked below 5000.
  • Above 5000 feet, the snowpack is developing a weak structure on all aspects. We found faceting snow atop crusts near the ground starting at middle elevations. Our snow pit at 7300 feet did not have any concerning test results because there wasn't a slab sitting on the weak layers in that sheltered location. 
  • On open, northeasterly terrain above treeline, recent westerly winds had deposited soft slabs that still cracked around us on small test slopes. The biggest drawback of venturing into big, consequential, alpine terrain today would have been triggering a larger wind slab resting on top of near surface facets.
  • We opted to skip riding a high bowl because of the potential wind slabs near the top, and the certain hazards associated with thin coverage as we descended. 
  • Looking ahead, with extended high pressure in the forecast, I expect that warm temperatures up high could create loose wet avalanche hazards as the low density surface snow melts. On northerly aspects that stay shady and cold, I bet the snowpack continues to weaken. 
Snowpack, Avalanche, Weather Images: 
Snowpack, Avalanche, Weather Videos: 

11/28/2020 A Weakening Snowpack in Glacier

Travel Details
Region: 
Glacier National Park - McDonald Lake Area
Activity: 
Skiing
Hiking
Snowpack Details
Snowpack and Weather Details: 
Hide Terrain
Elevation of observation: 
3500-5000 ft
5000-6500 ft
Above 6500 ft
Aspect(s) of observation: 
NE
E
SE
S
SW
W
Persistent Weak Layers: 
Facets or Faceted Crust
Buried
New Snow in the past 24 hours: 
0.00in.
Total Snow Depth: 
120
More comments about the snowpack and weather: 
Above freezing temps at lower elevations and rapidly cooling to -5 C above 5000'. Blowing snow was isolated and occasional creep.
Blowing Snow: 
Light
Wind Speed: 
Light (Twigs in motion)
Wind Direction: 
Southwest
Air temperature: 
Below Freezing
Snow line: 
4500
Sky Cover: 
Mostly Cloudy (BRK)
Highest Precipitation Rate: 
Very Light Snowfall (S-1)