THIS AVALANCHE FORECAST EXPIRED ON April 8, 2017 @ 12:00 am
Avalanche Forecast published on April 7, 2017 @ 7:00 am
Issued by Todd Hannan - Flathead National Forest

Whitefish Range
Swan Range
Flathead Range and Glacier National Park

How to read the forecast

Heightened wet avalanche concerns exist due to continued warm temperatures and rain on recent, unconsolidated snow. The avalanche danger is MODERATE above 6000 feet where human triggered avalanches are possible. Pay attention to changing weather conditions today. More rain than anticipated could result in deeper instabilities and increase the potential for larger wet avalanches. Below 6000 feet the danger is LOW.

 

2. Moderate

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Above 6500 ft.
Heightened avalanche conditions on specific terrain features. Evaluate snow and terrain carefully; identify features of concern.

1. Low

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5000-6500 ft.
Generally safe avalanche conditions. Watch for unstable snow on isolated terrain features.

1. Low

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3500-5000 ft.
Generally safe avalanche conditions. Watch for unstable snow on isolated terrain features.
    Heightened avalanche conditions on specific terrain features. Evaluate snow and terrain carefully; identify features of concern.
  • 1. Low
  • 2. Moderate
  • 3. Considerable
  • 4. High
  • 5. Extreme
Avalanche Problem 1: Loose Wet
  • Type ?
  • Aspect/Elevation ?
  • Likelihood ?
    Certain
    Very Likely
    Likely
    Possible
    Unlikely
  • Size ?
    Historic
    Very Large
    Large
    Small

The potential for loose, wet avalanches exist due to continued warm temperatures and rain on recent unconsolidated snow. Snow sticking to your skis/skins and snowmobiles are signs that the snow surface is starting to become unstable. If you start seeing rollerballs and/or natural wet loose avalanche activity, move to less steep terrain. Keep in mind that the effects of small, loose, wet avalanches can be amplified by terrain traps like narrow gullies, trees, and cliffs.

Avalanche Problem 2: Cornice
  • Type ?
  • Aspect/Elevation ?
  • Likelihood ?
    Certain
    Very Likely
    Likely
    Possible
    Unlikely
  • Size ?
    Historic
    Very Large
    Large
    Small

Large cornices still exist along many of the ridgelines across the advisory area. Warming temperatures and rain will weaken these features and it is best to give them a wide berth. Be aware that cornices can break farther back on the ridge than you might expect. Also keep in mind that falling cornices can trigger avalanches on the slopes beneath them. Avoid traveling on slopes underneath cornices.

Forecast discussion

Glide cracks have been opening up in many locations. Glide avalanches are notoriously unpredictable and it is best to avoid travelling on or beneath slopes where glide cracks are present. 

The last daily avalanche advisory of the season will be Sunday, April 9.

recent observations

Thursday: Going to the Sun Avalanche Program toured on Mount Cannon in Glacier National Park. They found generally wet snow conditions and 5 cm of recent, wet snow above 5800 feet. They noted evidence of small, loose, wet avalanche activity likely to have occurred due to warm temperatures on Tuesday (4/4). Skiers east of the advisory in southern Glacier National Park noted above freezing temperatures and variable surface conditions. They observed debris from a recent slab avalanche triggered by cornice fall.

Tuesday: FAC Staff toured the Skookaleel Ridge area in the Southern Whitefish Range.  Sunshine was abundant and warming the 1 to 2 inches of new snow above the crust on solar aspects.  The surface snow in shaded areas and non-solar aspects was not impacted.  The crust at the surface varied considerably in strength and thickness.  Stronger and thicker on slopes exposed to the sun and thinner and weaker on non-solar aspects.   Skiers on Gunsight Mountain in Glacier National Park (outside the advisory area) reported 1 to 10 inches of new snow from Monday and small but sensitive wind slabs.

See below for all observations this season.

Weather and CURRENT CONDITIONS
weather summary

Yesterday's temperatures climbed to the upper 40s above 6000 feet.  Light rain moved into the area in the afternoon and continued overnight. Currently, mountain temperatures range from 33-37º F, and winds are out the southwest at 5-10 mph.  Today should bring mostly cloudy skies with temperatures in the mid-40s. Lingering light to moderate rain is expected to taper mid-day and resume overnight.

Today’s weather observations near 6000 feet in the region
0600 temperature: 33-37 deg. F.
Max. temperature in the last 24 hours: 39-50 deg. F.
Average wind direction during the last 24 hours: Southwest
Average wind speed during the last 24 hours: 5-10 mph
Maximum wind gust in the last 24 hours: 15-25 mph
New snowfall in the last 24 hours: 0 inches
Total snow depth: 82-121 inches
Two-Day Mountain Weather Forecast Produced in partnership with the Missoula NWS
For 5000 ft. to 7000 ft.
Friday Friday Night Saturday
Cloud Cover: Light rain Light rain/snow Light rain showers.
Temperatures: 38-52 deg. F. 21-30 deg. F. 35-49 deg. F.
Wind Direction: South -Southwest Southwest Southwest
Wind Speed: 12-14 gusts 28-36 12-14 gusts 29-31 6-7 gusts 21
Snowfall: 0 in. 0-3 in. 0 in.
Snow Line:
Disclaimer

This advisory applies only to backcountry areas outside established ski area boundaries. This advisory describes general avalanche conditions and local variations always occur. This advisory expires at midnight on the posted day unless otherwise noted. The information in this advisory is provided by the USDA Forest Service who is solely responsible for its content.